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From the monthly archives:

September 2009

Africa Top 10 Internet Countries…

by Riba on September 29, 2009

africa2009topAccording to these stats, Internet penetration is at 6.7% with Africa accounting for only 3.9% of the world’s internet users.  Whats more Kenya scores fewer internet users than Sudan. Though we cannot ignore the fact that Sudan’s population is higher than Kenya’s and that their economy is also larger.

But hopefully these numbers will shoot higher if the promised reduction in internet access prices materialize eventually.

Anyway this means if am looking at starting an online business in Kenya my potential market is currently at only 3.4M and thats assuming full market penetration for ‘my business’.  Now to put this into perspective, the same report claims that China has over 338M users and India has 81M.

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Central Banks leave key lending rates unchanged….

by Riba on September 24, 2009

The South African Reserve Bank left the Repo Rate unchanged at 7%, while the Kenyan Central Bank also decided to leave the CBR unchanged at 7.75%.

The difference here only being that South African banks actually benchmark the lending rate based on the Prime Rate which is 10.5% (Repo rate of 7% + 3.5%). While Kenya’s CBR is almost ceremonial and mostly just an indication of what the Central Bank would like banks to do as opposed to a market based benchmark.

The decision by CBK to leave rates unchanged was based on the impact of drought on Kenya’s economic performance and the slow growth in private sector credit.

Here is Prof Ndungu’s press release after the monetary policy meeting yesterday.

Updated on 29th Sept: Download the final press release from the CBK here, which has a detailed outlook of the Kenyan economy from the eyes of the Central bank economists.

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Kenyan Tea Prices on a steady rise…

by Riba on September 19, 2009

tea picking in kenyaKenyan tea prices have hit record highs at the past few week’s auctions in Mombasa on drought fears ahead of Ramadan, when trading in Islamic countries falls sharply and consumption rises but improved quality and overall tight world supply also contributed.

This demand is being driven by Middle East countries. And what’s more most of the tea offered for auction is actually being sold off at these high prices.
The average price for Best BP1s hit $4.03 per kg, up from a previous high of $3.97 reached in August. Tea offered at the weekly auction in Mombasa has fetched higher prices this year with buyers stocking up as drought in the world’s biggest exporter of black tea hit production. These prices are almost reaching the records of 1996 and 1997.

This might as well be reflected in the next financial reporting period of the listed tea companies. Which include Williamson Tea, Sasini Tea & Coffee, Kapchorua Tea and Limuru Tea among others.

Reason for the short-term optimism:
- The Shilling is still weak against the US dollar at about Kes 75-78 to the $.
- Tea prices at their highest in almost 10 years
- Increased Govt. investment in the tea industry.

More on this from Nation Media and Bloomberg.

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KenolKobil and Engen in Zimbabwe Joint Venture..

by Riba on September 14, 2009

ZimbabweEngen, South Africa’s leading refined petroleum products company, and KenolKobil , the largest indigenous African petroleum marketing company in the East and Central African Region, have signed a sale and purchase agreement to jointly acquire all the shares in Shell Zimbabwe and BP Zimbabwe.

The acquired entities were previously operated by BP on behalf of the joint venture which marketed under both the BP and Shell brands in Zimbabwe.

With this transaction, Engen and KenolKobil have acquired the best developed assets in the oil industry in Zimbabwe, consisting of more than 75 service stations spread across the country, as well as several depots, located in Harare, Bulawayo,Mutare, Gweru and other major towns in Zimbabwe.

This seems a good move especially if the coalition govt. in Zimbabwe can hold it together and emerge as a better  run country which would only mean an upside for KenolKobil and with this move now KenolKobil has a footprint in East, Central and Southern Africa Regions.

The acquisition is in line with KenolKobil’s expansionary plans, as evidenced by the recent entry into Burundi where they acquired from Engen in Burundi; Oil Burundi Limited.

KenolKobil was suspended from the NSE today as this transaction takes place.

Post based on KenolKobil press release to be found here from KenolKobil and here the softcopy for download.

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Zain sells 46% to Indian/Malaysian consortium for $13.7Bn

by Riba on September 14, 2009

Kuwzain logoait based Zain which operates in 24 countries and has nearly 70M mobile subscribers has signed a $13.7Bn deal, transferring a 46 per cent ownership of the company (Zain Group) to an Indian/Malaysian telecoms consortium.

The buying consortium is led by  India’s conglomerate Vavasi Group and Syed Mokhtar al-Bukhary, a Malaysian billionaire. This sounds like another name change is on the cards.

Its now not clear if the Zain Group is still interested in selling off its African assets as reported here.

Although separate reports indicated that the Zain Africa sale seems to be still on, but Morocco and Sudan businesses will not be up for sale in the Africa assets batch. Which after Vivendi walked out of a deal is now in talks with Reliance Communications of India.
But this will depend on whether these new shareholders are willing to let go those ‘valuable’ African assets, or prefer to reinvest in them and grow the businesses. More details here.

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KenGen Bond Information Memorandum

by Riba on September 8, 2009

Here the KenGen 10 year public infrastructure bond offer Information Memorandum

gview

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Relevance of Kenyan Uni. syllabus…

by Riba on September 4, 2009

secondlifeimagecropped
Just thot today I should deviate from my usual posts topics; Btw today is casual friday, normally the first friday of each September where you buy a sticker for R10 around Kes80 and all proceeds go to the disabled, and you get to dress in casual. Being a banker this is a big thing. lol

I graduated from Nairobi University, a few years back, when VB was the in thing thats before .Net and all other good things that followed. But ofcourse at UoN we didn’t study VB, well its was eventually introduced, but by then I had finished the unit and moved on. So I studied MS Dos.. and no I was not there in the 90′s or 80′s its post 2K(u can try figure my age range from this)..
So I learnt MS Dos which of course I have never used. But my point is, Insead a top European MBA destination university is holding a global information session in Second Life..If you don’t know second life.. its a 3D virtual world, where you create your own avatar., and can shop, buy stuff, meet people.. etc.. here is the link.
Ok.. lets assume secondlife is too far fetched for our local universities, because you also require decent bandwidth and a good computer to access.

Here in SA, there was a discussion with a music lecturer in Wits University and she was preparing a paper on AutoTunes.
No, her motivation was not Jay Z’s song death of autotunes, but the fact that music is now turning very mechanical and no longer does it matter how well a musician can sing, since the voice can be digitally enhanced.
This got me thinking.. I hope the syllabus at our Universities and schools has moved to include more than Nyatiti and Sukuti drums, yes they should be taught but we should also be relevant and teach what is current so that our graduates are relevant.
Anyway, this was juts my 2 cents ..

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